Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 103836.969335 109376.816817 114907.995797 120841.276297 127021.942595 133266.842806 140049.802369
2025-07-27 95057.631668 103568.876083 112295.979874 121902.236365 132168.011090 142798.573215 154627.660554
2025-08-03 88169.349301 98687.853373 109703.231245 122076.425223 135564.220896 149797.821672 165930.601850
2025-08-10 82997.782475 95029.980564 107855.318610 122506.008183 138739.707869 156137.646503 176153.694549
2025-08-17 78539.089764 91743.164369 106038.115555 122609.168772 141232.770257 161459.122262 185028.445289
2025-08-24 75549.073560 89835.175501 105515.998984 123930.121479 144883.237784 167904.233133 195028.242319
2025-08-31 72044.183295 87118.306871 103879.750210 123802.243941 146734.545283 172200.964983 202513.088012
2025-09-07 69968.803386 85902.705925 103828.122775 125366.222265 150414.379223 178495.747349 212222.242921
2025-09-14 67802.186382 84454.228173 103396.200430 126389.892678 153390.578284 183931.088517 220919.863823
2025-09-21 65341.940375 82539.809122 102313.643202 126555.137041 155286.329591 188061.355991 228074.530072
2025-09-28 63106.952058 80793.932141 101339.355696 126763.956009 157162.919028 192119.015644 235115.930372
2025-10-05 62029.692089 80386.440271 101908.019068 128766.191316 161132.768700 198618.374412 245035.286493
2025-10-12 60791.666362 79752.685553 102190.220534 130428.803853 164726.759388 204732.226030 254597.790770
2025-10-19 59262.792879 78702.847254 101921.020376 131387.664163 167455.505830 209820.518983 262970.846684
2025-10-26 57419.702722 77193.626433 101029.703813 131533.437494 169158.441711 213658.713366 269845.699184
2025-11-02 55837.780835 75955.115876 100420.992573 131980.815006 171194.104109 217877.895853 277179.350695
2025-11-09 54184.313889 74568.279800 99576.106746 132088.319093 172775.319637 221524.638183 283815.640035
2025-11-16 53233.984789 74047.328626 99787.349806 133491.365064 175945.713803 227108.977218 292833.924554
2025-11-23 51627.472206 72624.173411 98810.223990 133355.386225 177166.031583 230283.667794 298897.484228
2025-11-30 50912.632628 72339.643774 99263.011063 135016.916499 180633.768118 236236.580033 308410.612777
2025-12-07 49982.622116 71739.005466 99282.749613 136104.323861 183366.494464 241281.566167 316821.587896
2025-12-14 48703.582526 70635.268712 98616.926199 136279.847245 184920.082532 244847.802997 323399.057812
2025-12-21 47502.230813 69600.335892 98008.918798 136501.653639 186511.760796 248452.124010 330029.629192